Need some experts to help with interpreting data from Wilmington Whiteface 100k MTN bike race

[DaveWh]

Nice work on your first MTB endurance race.

There’s some good stats in the following post about translating qualifier times into LT100 times.

Leadville 100 MTB 2019

I’ve updated my analysis of the qualifying events and predictions for finish times to employ a logarithmic regression analysis. The correlation coefficient is marginally better employing this method, and will generally inspire more confidence for those folks–like myself–that are in the purple, orange, and/or blue corrals. FYI, in Excel the function is: = LN(“qualifying time”)*Slope+Intercept, where the “qualifying time” is expressed in the HH:MM:SS format. Sub-9hr predictions: [image] Sub…

The multiplier for wilmington is 1.93, which puts you at about 10:30 for Leadville. Based on this finishing time, you can determine splits for Leadville based on other 10:30 finishers. That will help with pacing, in addition to your power meter - although remember to adjust for altitude when using power to pace.